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We Think i.century Holding (HKG:8507) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

Simply Wall St·01/02/2025 22:31:29
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that i.century Holding Limited (HKG:8507) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for i.century Holding

What Is i.century Holding's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, i.century Holding had HK$22.7m of debt, up from HK$20.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$6.25m, its net debt is less, at about HK$16.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8507 Debt to Equity History January 2nd 2025

How Strong Is i.century Holding's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that i.century Holding had liabilities of HK$48.4m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$521.0k falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$6.25m in cash and HK$27.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$15.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

i.century Holding has a market capitalization of HK$27.2m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is i.century Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year i.century Holding wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 38%, to HK$151m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate i.century Holding's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$2.8m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$2.8m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for i.century Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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