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Could The Market Be Wrong About Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?
Simply Wall St·03/05/2024 00:16:42
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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKG:1929) has had a rough week with its share price down 5.1%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group is:

25% = HK$6.7b ÷ HK$27b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.25 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Earnings Growth And 25% ROE

First thing first, we like that Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 9.1% which is quite remarkable. This likely paved the way for the modest 12% net income growth seen by Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 1.1% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:1929 Past Earnings Growth March 5th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 1929 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 76% (which means it retains 24% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

Moreover, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 72%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 29%.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's performance. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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