Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited (HKG:371)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited (HKG:371) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 11x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Beijing Enterprises Water Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Beijing Enterprises Water Group

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Beijing Enterprises Water Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 54% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.1% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's alarming that Beijing Enterprises Water Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Beijing Enterprises Water Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Beijing Enterprises Water Group you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.