Further Upside For China Supply Chain Holdings Limited (HKG:3708) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 35% Bounce

China Supply Chain Holdings Limited (HKG:3708) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 77% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China Supply Chain Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Construction industry in Hong Kong is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for China Supply Chain Holdings

What Does China Supply Chain Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for China Supply Chain Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

How Is China Supply Chain Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Supply Chain Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.7% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 66% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 8.8%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this information, we find it interesting that China Supply Chain Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On China Supply Chain Holdings' P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now China Supply Chain Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We didn't quite envision China Supply Chain Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Supply Chain Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Supply Chain Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.