When you see that almost half of the companies in the Construction industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.3x, Lotus Horizon Holdings Limited (HKG:6063) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Our free stock report includes 3 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Lotus Horizon Holdings. Read for free now.View our latest analysis for Lotus Horizon Holdings
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Lotus Horizon Holdings has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Lotus Horizon Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lotus Horizon Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 37% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 12% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.3% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Lotus Horizon Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Lotus Horizon Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Lotus Horizon Holdings (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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