Pinning Down China Nature Energy Technology Holdings Limited's (HKG:1597) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electrical industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, China Nature Energy Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1597) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 4.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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View our latest analysis for China Nature Energy Technology Holdings

How Has China Nature Energy Technology Holdings Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Nature Energy Technology Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like China Nature Energy Technology Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 48% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 53% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that China Nature Energy Technology Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of China Nature Energy Technology Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for China Nature Energy Technology Holdings (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.