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Does Rising Passenger and Cargo Traffic Reroute the Long-Term Outlook for Corporación América Airports (CAAP)?

Simply Wall St·07/30/2025 13:09:23
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  • Corporación América Airports recently released its June and year-to-date 2025 operating results, reporting growth in passenger numbers to 6,885,000 for June and cargo volume to 31,300 tons, compared to the same period last year.
  • Steady increases in total aircraft movements and cargo volume highlight continued operational strength across the company’s airport concessions in multiple regions.
  • Let's examine how the ongoing rise in passenger traffic could shape Corporación América Airports' broader investment narrative and outlook.

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Corporación América Airports Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Corporación América Airports, you need to believe in the ongoing recovery and potential expansion of international and domestic air travel across its diversified airport portfolio. The recent rise in passenger numbers and higher cargo volumes reinforce strong operational activity, but these figures do not materially shift the core catalyst, sustained international traffic growth, or lessen the top risk around earnings unpredictability tied to currency fluctuations, especially the Argentine peso.

The company’s active pursuit of inorganic growth, highlighted by its March announcement to build M&A capabilities, stands out as especially relevant. Expanding through targeted acquisitions could complement passenger traffic gains, especially if recovery in international routes leads to opportunities in underpenetrated regions or strengthens its geographic footprint, both key elements for unlocking value beyond short-term numbers.

However, investors should consider the distinct risk posed by ongoing currency volatility in Argentina...

Read the full narrative on Corporación América Airports (it's free!)

Corporación América Airports is projected to reach $2.0 billion in revenue and $502.6 million in earnings by 2028. This outlook assumes a 3.0% annual revenue growth rate and a $331.8 million increase in earnings from the current $170.8 million.

Uncover how Corporación América Airports' forecasts yield a $23.42 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

CAAP Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025
CAAP Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025

Private investors in the Simply Wall St Community assigned CAAP fair values ranging from US$11.09 to US$43.76, based on four distinct models. While opinions span a wide spectrum, many are watching for how persistent currency volatility may continue to impact earnings stability and near-term market sentiment.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Corporación América Airports - why the stock might be worth 46% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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