The Wai Chun Bio-Technology Limited (HKG:660) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 44%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 97% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider Wai Chun Bio-Technology as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Wai Chun Bio-Technology
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Wai Chun Bio-Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Wai Chun Bio-Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Wai Chun Bio-Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 39%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 31% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.0% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Wai Chun Bio-Technology's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Wai Chun Bio-Technology's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Wai Chun Bio-Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Wai Chun Bio-Technology that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Wai Chun Bio-Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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