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To believe in Grindr as a shareholder, one must trust in its ability to sustain strong revenue growth while converting that growth into consistent profits, despite rising costs and fierce competition in the dating app sector. The recent swing to profitability in Q2 2025 is a meaningful signal that the company is delivering operational efficiency; however, this does not fully remove the immediate risk that rising costs or a slowdown in new feature adoption could undermine forward momentum. Among recent announcements, Grindr’s reaffirmation of its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, projecting growth of 26% or more, stands out as the most relevant. Paired with its latest earnings results, this guidance offers investors increased transparency on management’s near-term expectations, giving weight to growth catalysts while also spotlighting the pressure to deliver amid high expectations and persistent expense headwinds. By contrast, investors should be aware of continued uncertainty around Grindr’s ability to control fast-rising operating expenses...
Read the full narrative on Grindr (it's free!)
Grindr's outlook projects $698.7 million in revenue and $166.0 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 22.0% annual revenue growth and a $221.5 million increase in earnings from the current level of $-55.5 million.
Uncover how Grindr's forecasts yield a $22.75 fair value, a 37% upside to its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community place Grindr’s potential between US$5.24 and US$35.29 per share. While opinions vary widely, the reality of sharply rising operating expenses could weigh on returns, prompting a closer look at how cost management might shape future outcomes.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Grindr - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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