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To own PagSeguro Digital, an investor needs to believe in the company’s ability to grow its payments and digital banking platforms profitably, despite industry shifts and a challenging interest rate environment. The strong second-quarter 2025 results reinforce recent momentum, but the main short-term catalyst remains how PagSeguro manages rising funding costs versus the benefit from a growing credit portfolio; the biggest risk continues to center on margin pressure from competition and product-mix changes, and this risk is largely unaffected by the latest results.
Among recent announcements, the significant buyback program, completed at US$200 million, stands out. While this reduces share count and supports earnings per share, it also constrains capital available for expansion, which is particularly important given ongoing competition and the need for innovation in digital banking.
Yet, in contrast to the upbeat earnings, investors should also keep an eye on how ongoing pricing strategies might affect client retention if...
Read the full narrative on PagSeguro Digital (it's free!)
PagSeguro Digital's narrative projects R$24.6 billion revenue and R$2.8 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 9.3% yearly revenue growth and a R$0.6 billion earnings increase from R$2.2 billion currently.
Uncover how PagSeguro Digital's forecasts yield a $11.23 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.
Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community for PagSeguro Digital range from R$6.61 to R$2,167.48 per share. In light of such wide opinions, it is worth considering that competition and shifts in client mix remain key issues that could influence whether this momentum is sustainable, take a closer look at the full set of perspectives for more insight.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on PagSeguro Digital - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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