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To be a shareholder in Celanese today, you need to believe in its ability to restore margin strength and earnings growth as global end-market demand normalizes, especially in its core acetyl and engineered materials businesses. The new US$1.75 billion revolving credit facility modestly bolsters near-term financial flexibility but does not materially alter the biggest short-term catalyst, volume and margin recovery as demand and pricing gradually stabilize, or the most pressing risk, which remains persistent weak demand and margin compression in key markets.
Among recent announcements, the extension and renewal of Celanese's credit facility stands out. By securing this financing through August 2030, the company has reinforced its liquidity at a time when cash flow is under pressure from subdued sales and challenging industry conditions, supporting management's margin recovery efforts even if demand headwinds persist.
On the other hand, investors should be aware...
Read the full narrative on Celanese (it's free!)
Celanese's narrative projects $10.3 billion revenue and $799.9 million earnings by 2028. This requires 1.1% yearly revenue growth and a $2.4 billion increase in earnings from -$1.6 billion currently.
Uncover how Celanese's forecasts yield a $54.94 fair value, a 13% upside to its current price.
Fair value estimates from five Simply Wall St Community members span US$54.94 to US$156.05 per share, highlighting widely differing views among retail investors. With persistent overcapacity and margin risk still challenging recovery, it is worth exploring how others interpret Celanese's long-term prospects.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Celanese - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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