What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. In light of that, from a first glance at Teekay Tankers (NYSE:TNK), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Teekay Tankers:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.099 = US$191m ÷ (US$2.1b - US$132m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2025).
Therefore, Teekay Tankers has an ROCE of 9.9%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 9.5%.
View our latest analysis for Teekay Tankers
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Teekay Tankers compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Teekay Tankers .
In terms of Teekay Tankers' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 16% that they were earning five years ago. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Teekay Tankers becoming one if things continue as they have.
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. The market must be rosy on the stock's future because even though the underlying trends aren't too encouraging, the stock has soared 332%. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
Teekay Tankers does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored...
While Teekay Tankers may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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