Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group Limited's (HKG:6989) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group Limited's (HKG:6989) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 28x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

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For instance, Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 6.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 49% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.