New York-based Moody's Corporation (MCO) operates as an integrated risk assessment firm. With a market cap of $91.5 billion, the company provides credit ratings and related research, data and analytical tools, quantitative credit risk measures, risk scoring software, and credit portfolio management solutions and securities pricing software and valuation models.
Shares of this credit rating giant have underperformed the broader market over the past year. MCO has gained 5.4% over this time frame, while the broader S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has rallied nearly 15.2%. In 2025, MCO stock is up 7.8%, compared to the SPX’s 10.2% rise on a YTD basis.
Narrowing the focus, MCO’s underperformance is also apparent compared to the iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF (IAI). The exchange-traded fund has gained about 37.7% over the past year. Moreover, the ETF’s 21.2% gains on a YTD basis outshine the stock’s single-digit returns over the same time frame.
On Jul. 23, MCO shares closed up more than 1% after reporting its Q2 results. Its revenue stood at $1.9 billion, up 4.5% year over year. The company’s adjusted EPS increased 8.5% from the prior-year quarter to $3.56.
For the current fiscal year, ending in December, analysts expect MCO’s EPS to grow 11.2% to $13.86 on a diluted basis. The company’s earnings surprise history is impressive. It beat the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters.
Among the 24 analysts covering MCO stock, the consensus is a “Moderate Buy.” That’s based on 11 “Strong Buy” ratings, one “Moderate Buy,” 11 “Holds,” and one “Strong Sell.”
This configuration is less bullish than a month ago, with 12 analysts suggesting a “Strong Buy.”
On Aug. 22, Evercore ISI analyst David Motemaden maintained a “Buy” rating on MCO and set a price target of $531, implying a potential upside of 4.1% from current levels.
The mean price target of $544.35 represents a 6.7% premium to MCO’s current price levels. The Street-high price target of $595 suggests an upside potential of 16.7%.
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