Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1759) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2025 Sino Gas Holdings Group had CN¥960.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥785.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥136.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥823.4m.
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sino Gas Holdings Group had liabilities of CN¥992.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.80m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥136.6m and CN¥198.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥660.5m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥223.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Sino Gas Holdings Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Sino Gas Holdings Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
See our latest analysis for Sino Gas Holdings Group
Over 12 months, Sino Gas Holdings Group reported revenue of CN¥2.1b, which is a gain of 51%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Even though Sino Gas Holdings Group managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥25m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of CN¥12m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Sino Gas Holdings Group (including 3 which are a bit unpleasant) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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