V.F. Corporation (NYSE:VFC) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that V.F's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Luxury industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for V.F
V.F could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on V.F will help you uncover what's on the horizon.In order to justify its P/S ratio, V.F would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.3% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 20% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.6% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 6.6% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that V.F is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
V.F appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
When you consider that V.F's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for V.F (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on V.F, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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