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Will Harley-Davidson’s New CEO’s Brand Loyalty Shape Management Credibility for HOG Investors?

Simply Wall St·09/11/2025 14:09:47
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  • Harley-Davidson recently announced the appointment of Artie Starrs as its new CEO, with Starrs having purchased a 2025 Heritage Classic motorcycle shortly before the news was made public.
  • This personal investment in the brand by the incoming CEO highlights a strong alignment with Harley-Davidson's culture and values, potentially boosting stakeholder confidence.
  • We'll look at how Artie Starrs' visible commitment to the brand may influence Harley-Davidson's investment narrative and strategic direction.

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Harley-Davidson Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Harley-Davidson shareholder today, you need to believe in the company’s ability to reignite growth despite weak global motorcycle sales and ongoing macroeconomic headwinds. The appointment of Artie Starrs as CEO, highlighted by his purchase of a new motorcycle, is unlikely to materially shift the immediate catalyst, accelerating growth in new markets, or the biggest risk of falling core demand and negative sales trends.

Among recent announcements, the approved Q3 2025 cash dividend of US$0.18 per share stands out. While this signals ongoing shareholder returns, it is especially relevant as investors consider management’s ability to sustain payouts in the face of earning pressures and industry challenges.

However, despite Artie Starrs’ personal commitment, investors should be aware that weakening North American and Asia-Pacific retail sales could weigh on results in coming quarters as...

Read the full narrative on Harley-Davidson (it's free!)

Harley-Davidson's outlook foresees revenue of $3.9 billion and earnings of $390.5 million by 2028. This assumes a 4.4% annual revenue decline and an earnings increase of $147.7 million from current earnings of $242.8 million.

Uncover how Harley-Davidson's forecasts yield a $29.33 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

HOG Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
HOG Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Four community members estimate Harley-Davidson’s fair value between US$19 and US$47.94 per share, reflecting contrasting views on its prospects. Weakening retail sales trends remain a key concern for the company’s performance, so consider a range of perspectives before deciding your next move.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Harley-Davidson - why the stock might be worth 37% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Harley-Davidson Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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