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For shareholders in Gentex, the core belief is that the company can successfully broaden its business from automotive components into advanced defense and safety systems, while navigating ongoing pressures in its traditional product lines. The new U.S. Army partnership meaningfully boosts Gentex’s exposure to defense sector opportunities, but it does not change the fact that the continued trend of decontenting in China’s auto market remains the most important risk over the next year.
Of Gentex’s recent company updates, the launch of the next-generation Ops-Core FAST® SF Helmet System (June 30, 2025) stands out as most relevant, reinforcing its investment in modular soldier systems ahead of the SBMC announcement. This product development directly connects to the company’s biggest near-term catalyst: expanding into higher-margin defense and mission-critical applications using its proven helmet and communication platform technology.
However, investors should also be aware that despite these moves into defense markets, persistent decontenting by Chinese automotive OEMs could still have a material impact on future revenue if automakers continue scaling back advanced features...
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Gentex's outlook anticipates $3.0 billion in revenue and $529.5 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes a 7.4% annual revenue growth rate and a $134.7 million increase in earnings from the current $394.8 million.
Uncover how Gentex's forecasts yield a $30.56 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community set Gentex’s fair value between US$19 and US$40.24 per share. Opinions remain divided as robust defense contracts are weighed against ongoing margin pressures and concentration risks, explore these perspectives for a fuller view.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Gentex - why the stock might be worth as much as 41% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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