Some Confidence Is Lacking In Ourgame International Holdings Limited's (HKG:6899) P/S

Ourgame International Holdings Limited's (HKG:6899) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios below 2.3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality.

View our latest analysis for Ourgame International Holdings

What Does Ourgame International Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Ourgame International Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ourgame International Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Ourgame International Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Ourgame International Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ourgame International Holdings (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ourgame International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.