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Autoliv (NYSE:ALV) Valuation in Focus After Record Q3 and New Zero-Gravity Seating Partnership

Simply Wall St·10/22/2025 22:24:24
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Autoliv (NYSE:ALV) has captured attention after reporting a record-setting third quarter, driven by higher automotive safety demand and strong operational efficiency. The company’s latest innovations and global expansion moves are fueling investor interest.

See our latest analysis for Autoliv.

Autoliv’s share price has had a strong run this year, with a year-to-date gain of 25.4% as excitement has built around robust earnings, substantial share buybacks, and innovative safety product launches such as the new zero-gravity seating solution. The stock’s one-year total shareholder return of 23.3% and impressive 58% three-year return signal that momentum is still very much alive, reflecting both the company’s growing profitability and investors’ confidence in its forward guidance.

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While Autoliv’s performance and innovations have certainly grabbed market attention, the key question for investors now is whether the current share price leaves room for future upside or if anticipated growth is already reflected in the valuation.

Most Popular Narrative: 14.4% Undervalued

With a fair value estimate of $135.21 compared to the last close at $115.73, the gap suggests markets could be overlooking key earnings drivers. This creates conditions for a bullish narrative built on growth from emerging markets and industry trends.

Recent success with new product launches in China and strengthening relationships with major Chinese OEMs suggest Autoliv is poised to benefit from rising vehicle ownership in emerging markets, resulting in notable revenue growth and market share gains in high-growth regions. Increased global attention to vehicle safety and the implementation of stricter automotive safety regulations are driving higher safety content per vehicle, which is expected to support sustained top-line growth and incremental margin improvement as Autoliv utilizes its leadership in advanced airbags and seatbelts.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know the growth blueprint behind this valuation? The narrative reveals bold financial projections and margin moves only insiders see coming. Discover the exact assumptions and pivotal numbers that power this optimistic fair value to find out what could fuel the next rally.

Result: Fair Value of $135.21 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, slowing global vehicle production and ongoing pricing pressure from large OEMs could present challenges to Autoliv’s strong growth narrative in the quarters ahead.

Find out about the key risks to this Autoliv narrative.

Build Your Own Autoliv Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers on your own terms, you can shape your own story in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Autoliv research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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