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To own BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings, investors need confidence in the membership warehouse model’s appeal in new and underpenetrated markets, steady membership growth, and the company’s ability to balance expanding its physical footprint with managing costs. The Sevierville, Tennessee club opening signals continued progress on footprint expansion, but does not meaningfully change concerns over rising operational expenses or the competitive margin pressures that remain the most important near-term risk for BJ’s business.
One of the company’s most relevant recent announcements is its guidance for 2.0%–3.5% comparable club sales growth for fiscal 2026, which closely aligns with the rationale behind new club openings like Sevierville. This guidance, however, remains subject to ongoing risks from macroeconomic volatility and persistent pricing competition in warehouse retail, both of which could affect the impact of new stores as near-term catalysts.
However, with rising costs from new store launches and the potential for margin erosion, investors should be aware of the increased risk of...
Read the full narrative on BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (it's free!)
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings is projected to achieve $25.2 billion in revenue and $683.1 million in earnings by 2028. This outlook assumes annual revenue growth of 6.5% and an increase in earnings of $104.2 million from the current level of $578.9 million.
Uncover how BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings' forecasts yield a $115.63 fair value, a 29% upside to its current price.
Eight Simply Wall St Community members placed fair value estimates for BJ’s between US$54.73 and US$144.70, illustrating wide-ranging outlooks. Rising operational and labor costs make cost management a key area to watch across all expectations for future performance.
Explore 8 other fair value estimates on BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings - why the stock might be worth as much as 61% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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