Benign Growth For Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (HKG:1152) Underpins Stock's 26% Plummet

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (HKG:1152) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Momentum Financial Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Diversified Financial industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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View our latest analysis for Momentum Financial Holdings

How Has Momentum Financial Holdings Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Momentum Financial Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Momentum Financial Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 53% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 33% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why Momentum Financial Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Momentum Financial Holdings' P/S?

The southerly movements of Momentum Financial Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Momentum Financial Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Momentum Financial Holdings (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Momentum Financial Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.