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To be a Diebold Nixdorf shareholder, you need to believe in the company’s ability to execute its transition from hardware-driven sales to a higher-margin, recurring software and managed services model. While the ROSSMANN Swiss expansion validates the exportability of Diebold’s retail technology and services blueprint, it is not likely to shift the main short-term catalyst, which continues to be the ramp-up of software-and-service contract wins; the largest risk remains slower-than-expected growth in these high-margin recurring services, which could stall margin improvement and earnings predictability.
Among recent updates, the Q3 2025 earnings report stands out, with Diebold Nixdorf posting US$945.2 million in quarterly revenue and a swing to net income after a prior-year loss. This supports near-term optimism around sustained revenue trends and margin improvements, key short-term drivers given the company’s emphasis on expanding recurring service revenues like those in the ROSSMANN partnership.
In contrast, investors should be aware of the possibility that recurring service contracts ramp up more slowly than forecast, as...
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Diebold Nixdorf is projected to reach $4.2 billion in revenue and $312.7 million in earnings by 2028. This outlook requires annual revenue growth of 4.3% and an earnings increase of $325.6 million from the current earnings of $-12.9 million.
Uncover how Diebold Nixdorf's forecasts yield a $79.00 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members provided a broad range of fair value estimates for Diebold Nixdorf, from US$79 to US$115.47, across two analyses. With growing focus on managed and software services as a catalyst, these diverse opinions underscore how much broader expectations still diverge for the company’s future performance.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Diebold Nixdorf - why the stock might be worth just $79.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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