Despite an already strong run, Ximei Resources Holding Limited (HKG:9936) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 190% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Ximei Resources Holding as a stock to potentially avoid with its 18.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Ximei Resources Holding as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Ximei Resources Holding
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ximei Resources Holding would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 48%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 5.5% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it concerning that Ximei Resources Holding is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The large bounce in Ximei Resources Holding's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Ximei Resources Holding revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Ximei Resources Holding (including 2 which don't sit too well with us).
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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