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For Itron, the big-picture belief is that utilities will keep investing in smarter, more data-driven grids, and that Itron can sell them an integrated stack of meters, software, analytics and services at reasonable margins. The recent Grid Edge Intelligence and Resiliency Solutions push, plus the new AI collaborations with Microsoft and Snowflake, fit neatly into that story, but they are unlikely to shift near-term earnings catalysts in a major way before Q4 2025 results in February. Instead, they slightly tilt the narrative toward higher software and analytics mix over time, while also adding execution risk around integrating Urbint, Locusview and new AI partners. With the share price still well below consensus targets and a fresh US$250,000,000 buyback authorization, the real question is whether Itron can convert this expanded platform into consistent, profitable growth without stumbling on delivery or capital allocation.
However, investors should also weigh how rising AI and integration spend could pressure margins if projects slip. Itron's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 48%. Find out what it's worth.Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Itron - why the stock might be worth 26% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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