Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (HKG:432) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 45% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 43%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Pacific Century Premium Developments' P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Pacific Century Premium Developments
The revenue growth achieved at Pacific Century Premium Developments over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Pacific Century Premium Developments will help you shine a light on its historical performance.The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Pacific Century Premium Developments' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 86% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 5.3% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's curious that Pacific Century Premium Developments' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Pacific Century Premium Developments' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
To our surprise, Pacific Century Premium Developments revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Pacific Century Premium Developments, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Pacific Century Premium Developments, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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