Assessing Brilliance China Automotive (SEHK:1114) Valuation After Mixed 2025 Earnings Results

Why Brilliance China Automotive’s latest earnings matter for shareholders

Brilliance China Automotive Holdings (SEHK:1114) has just released full year 2025 results, reporting CNY 1,181.92 million in sales and CNY 1,985.69 million in net income, with earnings per share lower than in the prior year.

See our latest analysis for Brilliance China Automotive Holdings.

Brilliance China Automotive’s share price has pulled back recently, with a 30 day share price return showing a decline of 23.65% and a 90 day share price return showing a decline of 27.03%. However, the 3 year total shareholder return remains very large, indicating that momentum has cooled but not reversed.

If this earnings update has you considering where else strong trends might emerge, it could be worth checking stocks in areas tied to vehicle and infrastructure demand using the 28 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks

With sales at CN¥1,181.92 million, net income at CN¥1,985.69 million and the share price well below the recent 1 year high, is Brilliance China Automotive now undervalued or is the market already pricing in future growth?

Price-to-Earnings of 6.6x: Is it justified?

On a P/E of 6.6x at a last close of HK$2.97, Brilliance China Automotive screens as good value compared to the Hong Kong market and auto peers, even though its earnings profile has been under pressure.

The P/E ratio compares the current share price with earnings per share and is a quick way to see how much investors are paying for each unit of profit. For Brilliance China Automotive, analysts highlight that earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.4% per year over the next 3 years and recent profit margins are lower than last year. A lower P/E can therefore reflect the market’s caution about future profitability rather than simply indicating a bargain.

Even with that backdrop, the gap to peers and fair value estimates is wide. 1114 is viewed as good value against its estimated fair P/E of 8.7x and also compared to the Hong Kong market P/E of 12.4x and the Asian auto industry average of 16.9x. This suggests the market could move closer to that fair ratio level if sentiment or earnings expectations improve.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Brilliance China Automotive Holdings

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 6.6x (UNDERVALUED).

However, investors still face risks, including a forecast earnings decline of 0.4% per year and recent profit margins that are lower than last year.

Find out about the key risks to this Brilliance China Automotive Holdings narrative.

Another view on valuation: DCF points the other way

While the 6.6x P/E suggests Brilliance China Automotive looks inexpensive, the SWS DCF model presents a tougher picture, with an estimated future cash flow value of HK$0.38 per share compared with the current HK$2.97. If earnings remain under pressure, the market may place greater weight on that cash flow view.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Brilliance China Automotive Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 247 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

The mixed signals around value and cash flows make this one of those situations where you really need to look under the hood yourself. Then act while the data is fresh and your thesis is clear, starting with the 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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