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To stay invested in Bristol Myers Squibb today, you need to believe that its newer drugs and partnerships can gradually offset pressure from looming patent losses and pricing reforms, while the balance sheet and dividend remain manageable despite high debt. The Camzyos adolescent SCOUT-HCM win supports the idea of a broader cardiology platform, but it does not change the near term focus on earnings pressure from guidance cuts and patent cliff concerns.
Among recent news, the expanded collaboration with Janux Therapeutics stands out next to the Camzyos update. By advancing a tumor activated therapeutic candidate and triggering a US$35,000,000 milestone payment, Bristol Myers Squibb is reinforcing its oncology pipeline and external innovation approach, which many investors watch as a possible counterweight to future Eliquis and Opdivo revenue erosion.
Yet, against these encouraging trial results, investors should also be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Bristol-Myers Squibb (it's free!)
Bristol-Myers Squibb's narrative projects $41.3 billion revenue and $9.2 billion earnings by 2028. This assumes revenues decline by 4.7% per year and earnings rise by about $4.2 billion from $5.0 billion today.
Uncover how Bristol-Myers Squibb's forecasts yield a $59.91 fair value, in line with its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already assuming revenue could fall about 8 percent a year to roughly US$37,500,000,000 by 2029, so if you think partnerships and late stage data will meaningfully offset that, your view is already less pessimistic than theirs.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Bristol-Myers Squibb - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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