Ubtech Robotics (SEHK:9880) Valuation After 2025 Earnings And Reduced Losses

Ubtech Robotics (SEHK:9880) has drawn attention after reporting full year 2025 earnings, with sales of CNY 2,001 million, a smaller net loss of CNY 703.19 million and basic loss per share of CNY 1.55.

See our latest analysis for Ubtech Robotics.

Following the earnings release, the share price has moved to HK$102.1, with a 1 day share price return of 2.10% and a 7 day share price return of 12.20%. The 30 day and year to date share price returns of 6.93% and 22.06% respectively indicate that recent momentum has picked up after a weaker stretch, and the 1 year total shareholder return of 24.66% shows investors who stayed invested over the past year have seen a stronger overall outcome than short term moves might suggest.

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With the shares at HK$102.1, a CNY 2,001 million revenue base and a CNY 703.19 million loss, the key question is whether the recent rally still leaves room for upside, or if the market is already pricing in future growth.

Preferred Price-to-Sales of 22.5x: Is it justified?

At a last close of HK$102.1, Ubtech Robotics is valued at a P/S of 22.5x, which screens as expensive against both peers and its own fair multiple estimate.

The P/S ratio compares the company’s market value to its revenue and is often used when a business is still loss making, as earnings do not yet provide a clean signal. For a robotics and automation player with a broad product suite and forecast revenue growth, a higher P/S can sometimes reflect investor willingness to pay up for future sales and potential scale.

Here, the market price sits well above several reference points. Ubtech trades on 22.5x P/S compared to a peer average of 14.4x and a Hong Kong Machinery industry average of 1x, indicating a much richer valuation than sector norms. In addition, the estimated fair P/S ratio of 9x suggests a level the market could move towards if sentiment or growth expectations cool meaningfully.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Ubtech Robotics

Result: Price-to-sales of 22.5x (OVERVALUED)

However, the company is still loss making, and a P/S of 22.5x leaves little margin for disappointment if revenue momentum or sentiment weakens.

Find out about the key risks to this Ubtech Robotics narrative.

Another View: DCF Points the Other Way

While the current P/S of 22.5x looks rich, our DCF model tells a very different story. At HK$102.1, the shares are trading about 68.7% below an estimated cash flow value of HK$326.69. This frames the recent rally as potentially less stretched than the sales multiple alone suggests. For you, the tension is whether to trust the price tag on current revenue or the longer term cash flow path.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Ubtech Robotics for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 245 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

With signals pointing in different directions, the key question is what you take away from the numbers and where you think sentiment goes next. If you want to see why some investors are still optimistic, take a closer look at the 3 key rewards

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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