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To own Tradeweb, you generally need to believe in the continued shift of fixed income and derivatives trading onto electronic platforms, where scale and workflow integration matter. The new record Q1 2026 volumes and steady preliminary fees support that electronification thesis and, at least for now, ease concerns that pricing pressure or slower adoption is the most immediate risk to the story.
Among recent announcements, the February 2026 earnings release and capital return update feel most relevant here. Those results showed revenue of about US$521 million in Q4 2025 and a higher dividend and buyback authorization, framing these latest volume records within a business that has already been generating solid profits and returning cash to shareholders while investing in growth.
Yet despite these strong trading statistics, investors should not ignore the risk that client trading preferences could still limit how far electronification can ultimately go...
Read the full narrative on Tradeweb Markets (it's free!)
Tradeweb Markets' narrative projects $2.8 billion revenue and $1.0 billion earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Tradeweb Markets' forecasts yield a $132.31 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts were already assuming Tradeweb could lift revenue to roughly US$3.1 billion and earnings to about US$1.1 billion by 2029, which is a far more ambitious path than the consensus narrative, particularly if client concentration risk in areas like U.S. Treasuries becomes more visible after such large volume gains.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Tradeweb Markets - why the stock might be worth 35% less than the current price!
Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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