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Upstart Holdings Leads These 3 Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Fair Value

Simply Wall St·05/15/2026 17:08:03
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Over the last 7 days, the United States market has risen by 1.1%, and over the past 12 months, it is up by an impressive 27%, with earnings expected to grow by 17% per annum in the coming years. In this context of robust market performance, identifying stocks that are trading below their fair value can be a strategic move for investors seeking opportunities for potential growth and value.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

Name Current Price Fair Value (Est) Discount (Est)
Swarmer (SWMR) $29.53 $57.05 48.2%
Rayonier (RYN) $20.22 $40.04 49.5%
Kaspi.kz (KSPI) $88.58 $173.06 48.8%
FinWise Bancorp (FINW) $13.01 $25.54 49.1%
FB Financial (FBK) $51.75 $101.61 49.1%
CoStar Group (CSGP) $31.85 $61.66 48.3%
Coastal Financial (CCB) $69.71 $134.79 48.3%
AXT (AXTI) $114.98 $229.09 49.8%
Aldeyra Therapeutics (ALDX) $1.66 $3.20 48.2%
AbbVie (ABBV) $210.77 $419.10 49.7%

Click here to see the full list of 149 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Upstart Holdings (UPST)

Overview: Upstart Holdings, Inc. operates a cloud-based AI lending platform in the United States and has a market capitalization of approximately $2.58 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily through its personal lending segment, which accounted for $1.01 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.6%

Upstart Holdings is trading at US$29.71, significantly below its estimated future cash flow value of US$56.68, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a net loss of US$6.65 million in Q1 2026 and ongoing legal challenges, Upstart's earnings are forecast to grow 58.54% annually, outpacing the market's growth rate. Recent partnerships with credit unions could bolster revenue growth, projected at 24.6% per year, enhancing its AI-driven lending platform's reach and efficiency.

UPST Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
UPST Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026

Amprius Technologies (AMPX)

Overview: Amprius Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets lithium-ion batteries for mobility applications with a market cap of $2.48 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $90.26 million from its battery business segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.2%

Amprius Technologies, trading at US$17.87, is valued below its projected future cash flow value of US$27.59, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a Q1 2026 net loss of US$5.05 million, revenue surged to US$28.54 million from the previous year’s US$11.28 million. The company anticipates annual revenue growth of 36%, surpassing market averages, while recent strategic moves like securing a significant purchase order in China could support this trajectory.

AMPX Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
AMPX Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026

LandBridge (LB)

Overview: LandBridge Company LLC, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on owning and managing land and resources to facilitate oil and natural gas development in the United States, with a market cap of $5.19 billion.

Operations: LandBridge generates revenue through its ownership and management of land and resources that support oil and natural gas development across the United States.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 26.9%

LandBridge is trading at US$67.50, below its estimated future cash flow value of US$92.32, reflecting potential undervaluation. The company reported Q1 2026 revenue of US$51.01 million and net income of US$8.72 million, showing growth from the previous year. Despite high debt levels, LandBridge's earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 51% annually, outpacing market averages. Strategic acquisitions and a share repurchase program further support its long-term asset base expansion strategy.

LB Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
LB Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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