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To own FTAI Aviation, you have to believe its focus on midlife engines, aircraft leasing, and capital light structures can keep generating attractive economics despite concentration in legacy platforms. The oversubscribed US$612.0 million aircraft ABS supports that thesis but does not remove the key near term swing factors: successful scaling of the SCI model on one side, and the risk that demand for CFM56 and other legacy engines fades faster than expected on the other.
The news that FTAI will redeem all outstanding 8.25 percent Series C preferred shares at US$25.00 per share fits with this shift toward a more flexible, capital markets driven balance sheet. Taken together with the new ABS, it reinforces how the company is retooling its funding mix around cheaper, diversified sources, which could matter a lot if engine aftermarket demand or SCI partner appetite ever falls short of expectations.
Yet while the funding story looks strong, investors should still watch how exposed FTAI is if airlines accelerate away from older engine platforms and...
Read the full narrative on FTAI Aviation (it's free!)
FTAI Aviation's narrative projects $6.6 billion revenue and $1.7 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 32.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.2 billion earnings increase from $521.7 million today.
Uncover how FTAI Aviation's forecasts yield a $350.60 fair value, a 39% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already assuming roughly US$4.6 billion of revenue and US$1.3 billion of earnings by 2029, yet they still framed FTAI’s concentration in legacy engines as a major overhang, reminding you that even with this ABS milestone, opinions on future risk and reward can differ widely and may shift again as new information comes through.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on FTAI Aviation - why the stock might be worth just $245.03!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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