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To own StandardAero, you need to believe in the durability of global engine MRO demand and the company’s ability to convert its growing workload into higher quality earnings and cash. The planned handover from Russell Ford to Paul McElhinney looks orderly and, given the long runway to October 2026 and Ford’s continued presence as Executive Chairman, does not materially change the near term focus on LEAP and CFM56 margin inflection or supply chain execution risks.
Among recent announcements, the raised 2026 revenue guidance to US$6,325 million to US$6,450 million, reflecting the elimination of US$300 million to US$400 million of zero margin pass through revenue, is most relevant. It reinforces that, even as leadership transitions are mapped out, the key near term catalyst remains how effectively StandardAero manages program ramp ups and structural contract changes that affect reported growth and investor perception.
Yet investors should be aware that any prolonged strain in securing critical forgings and castings could...
Read the full narrative on StandardAero (it's free!)
StandardAero's narrative projects $7.3 billion revenue and $549.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.4% yearly revenue growth and about a $364.5 million earnings increase from $184.7 million today.
Uncover how StandardAero's forecasts yield a $35.50 fair value, a 41% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place StandardAero’s fair value tightly between US$33.70 and US$35.61, underscoring how closely grouped some independent views can be. You should weigh these against the execution risk around LEAP and CFM56 margin improvement, since setbacks in those programs could materially influence how the company’s earnings profile evolves and how different investors reassess its prospects.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on StandardAero - why the stock might be worth just $33.70!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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