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Easy Smart Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:2442) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Simply Wall St·01/15/2024 23:41:36
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Despite an already strong run, Easy Smart Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2442) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Since its price has surged higher, Easy Smart Group Holdings may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.7x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Easy Smart Group Holdings has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Easy Smart Group Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2442 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 15th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Easy Smart Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Easy Smart Group Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Easy Smart Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 45% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Easy Smart Group Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Easy Smart Group Holdings' P/E

The strong share price surge has got Easy Smart Group Holdings' P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Easy Smart Group Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Easy Smart Group Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.

You might be able to find a better investment than Easy Smart Group Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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