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Great Wall Terroir Holdings Limited's (HKG:524) 48% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Simply Wall St·04/15/2024 22:39:33
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Great Wall Terroir Holdings Limited (HKG:524) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 48% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Great Wall Terroir Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Telecom industry is similar at about 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Great Wall Terroir Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:524 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 15th 2024

How Great Wall Terroir Holdings Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Great Wall Terroir Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Great Wall Terroir Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Great Wall Terroir Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Great Wall Terroir Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 23% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 6.4% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Great Wall Terroir Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What Does Great Wall Terroir Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Great Wall Terroir Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we've seen, Great Wall Terroir Holdings' three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Great Wall Terroir Holdings, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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