Sasol Revises FY25 Outlook: Mining Production At 28-30mt, Fuels Sales Down 1-3%, Chemicals Africa Sales Down 2-4%, International Chemicals Sales Down 4-8%

Outlook

On 3 April 2025, the US government announced changes to US import tariffs, followed by a suspension of these tariffs for most countries for 90 days, announced on 9 April 2025. As global markets continue to adjust to the recent tariff changes, we are actively assessing the potential impact on our operations, supply chain, and pricing strategies. Engagements with the relevant stakeholders are ongoing and we remain focused on ensuring continuity, mitigating potential disruptions and identifying any upside opportunities for Sasol. We continue to maintain strong liquidity and strict cost management, which supports our ability to navigate external uncertainties.

Our ongoing hedging programme aims to ensure downside protection of the balance sheet. To date, the FY25 hedging programme is now complete, while the FY26 programme is nearing completion, with only Q4 FY26 oil hedges still open. The average Brent crude oil floor price for Q4 FY25 is ~US$64/bbl, with FY26 hedge floors averaging ~US$60/bbl. Please refer to the hedging update on the last page.

Market guidance for Gas, Oryx, SO and Natref remains intact. Aligned with the management decision taken to reduce own production of poor quality coal and replace it with higher quality external purchases, Mining's production outlook has been revised downward to 28 - 30 mt. The associated mining cost per ton is now expected to range between R650 - R670 per ton. Fuels sales volumes are expected to decrease to 1 - 3% lower than FY24 largely due to the supply disruptions. Chemicals Africa sales volumes are also projected to be 2 - 4% lower than FY24, driven by lower SO production and the uncertainty surrounding ongoing global tariff disputes.

International Chemicals sales volumes are expected to be at the lower end of our previous guidance, which indicated a 4 - 8% decrease compared to FY24. This is primarily due to the unplanned Louisiana Integrated Polyethylene LLC (LIP) JV cracker outage in the US and the uncertainty surrounding ongoing global tariff disputes.

Financial metrics for FY25 remain broadly in line with guidance. Cash fixed cost increase is expected to remain below inflation and capital expenditure to be at the lower end of our guided range of R28 - R30 billion.